Thursday Service Play Thread 08/19/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Tokyo Brandon

304639) LG Twins at (304640) KT Wiz Suwon
Game: (304639) LG Twins at (304640) KT Wiz Suwon
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play: KT Wiz Suwon -118
So Hyeong Jun is an excellent SP who has has only one clunker start all season. He is backed by a good bullpen and great lineup. LG has a decent SP but KT's lineup advantage is the reason I am going with KT here. My numbers give them a 57% chance to win that is worth a 2% play on -130 or better.

(304637) NC Dinos at (304638) SSG Landers
Game: (304637) NC Dinos at (304638) SSG Landers
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: A%
Play: 1H NC Dinos +115
Sam Gaviglio has been an absolute disaster with an 8+ ERA and 1.81 WHIP in three starts. NC has the lineup, bullpen and SP advantage here. This number is fishy so I will make this 1% play. I have been burned by bullpens too much lately so I am making this a 1st5 money line play but you can make it a full game, the odds are the same.

(304633) Samsung Lions at (304634) Hanwha Eagles
Game: (304633) Samsung Lions at (304634) Hanwha Eagles
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: A%
Play: 1H Samsung Lions -0.5 (-150)
The juice is a bit steep but David Buchanan is 2-0 without surrendering a run vs Hanwha this season. His counterpart Kim Ki joong is a relief pitcher who has not gone past 3 innings and allowed 2 runs in 2 innings when he faced Samsung before. Take Samsung on the run line -1 or -0.5 in the first 5. You can find it between 145 and 170.

(304105) Seibu Lions at (304106) Chiba Lotte Marines
Game: (304105) Seibu Lions at (304106) Chiba Lotte Marines
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 4:45 AM EDT
Play Rating: C%
Play: Chiba Lotte Marines -120
The Marines have a huge bullpen advantage in this one and Seibu SP Honda is awful. He is followed by the worst bullpen in Japan and Lotte is battling for first place in the division at home, I see them taking this one. Lotte SP Suzuki has a 1.00 WHIP and 12.0 K/9 rate vs Seibu. My numbers say bet Lotte anything -145 or better. Take them on the money line.

 

[BuzzKill]

Matt Severance

PHILADELPHIA @ ARIZONA | 08/19 | 3:40 PM EDT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: Going to jump this one early as a few books have already seen the total drop to 8 and that half-run could easily be the difference. It's Cy Young favorite Zack Wheeler on the mound for the Phils, and he loves pitching during the day (1.43 ERA). Arizona's Madison Bumgarner has been one of the NL's best pitchers since the All-Star break. Educated guess: Phils All-Star catcher JT Realmuto (and maybe another regular) sits out this getaway game ahead of a big series in San Diego.

+2852 182-115-6 IN LAST 303 MLB PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:13 PM

L.A. ANGELS @ DETROIT | 08/19 | 1:10 PM EDT
DETROIT +1.5
ANALYSIS: Even at a big price of -160, going to take Tigers +1.5 runline as a safety net (they probably win outright) only as I believe they will be -1.5 by the morning because the Angels scratched starting pitcher Patrick Sandoval, who has been quite good. He's headed to the injured list. In his place will be lefty Jose Quintana (0-3, 6.12). He has been decent as a reliever this year but awful starting (7.22 ERA). The Tigers are five games over .500 vs. southpaws -- have won their past four -- and their rookie pitcher, Matt Manning, has been much better at home.

 

[BuzzKill]

Elite Sports Picks

Arizona (Bumgarner) +1.5 runs -110 over Philadelphia (Wheeler)

 

[BuzzKill]

Insider Sports Report
D* L.A. Angels (Sandoval) -130 over Detroit (Manning)
Range: -115 to -155
C* New England/Philadelphia UNDER 38.5 (NFL)
Range: 40 to 36

National Sports Service
D* Milwaukee (Woodruff) -1.5 runs -110 over St. Louis (Lester)
C* Philadelphia +1.5 over New England (NFL)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> L.A. Angels (Sandoval) -130 over Detroit (Manning)
C Unit --> New England -1.5 over Philadelphia (NFL)

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Milwaukee (Woodruff) -1.5 runs -110 over St. Louis (Lester)
C★ New England/Philadelphia UNDER 38.5 (NFL)

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=341&p=13564378&viewfull=1#post13564378

 

[bribux]

dubaibet asia

Europa League - Qualification
Omonia (Cyp) vs Antwerp (Bel)
Antwerp +0 @ 1.85

 

[BuzzKill]

both-to-score

EGYPT: Premier League
Pyramids – Aswan SC
Both to score : YES @ 1.95

 

[BuzzKill]

mega-bet-ticket

Santa Clara – Partizan : Over 2 @ 1.72
Sivasspor – FC Copenhagen : Over 2 @ 1.70
Total Odds : 2.92

 

[BuzzKill]

Alan Scozzari Sport

Guaranteed B Wager
Europa Conference League
Basel (Sui) -1,5 -120

Tip of the day MAX BET C Wager
Europa League
Mura (Slo) - Sturm Graz (Aut)
UNDER 2,5 -120

 

[Laupau]

Matt Severance:


L.A. Angels @ Detroit
Pick: Detroit +1.5 -160


Philadelphia @ Arizona
Pick: UNDER 8.5

 

[dough]

Goodfella

3* - Brewers RL

 

[BuzzKill]

JM Sports

Game: (913) Seattle Mariners at (914) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 2:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C units
Play: Seattle Mariners -155 C Flexen (RHP), S Howard (RHP) Must Start
C unit Seattle Mariners (-155) over Texas Rangers (Flexen/Howard) –
Chris Flexen has been a bright note on a team that has struggled this year, posting a record just 8 games over .500. Flexen is 10-5 TY with a 3.78 ERA in 22 starts, against Texas this year he has 3 starts, with a 3-0 record and a 2.33 ERA allowing 5 ER in 19.1 IP, striking out 13 and walking only 2, on the road he is 4-1 in 9 starts, and in day games he is 2-0 with a 3.91 ERA. The Mariners have played well in his starts as well, they are 3-1 when he closes out a series, 6-0 in his L6 starts vs. teams under .500, and they are 6-2 in his L8 starts when the team is off a W. Seattle is also 6-0 in the L6 games vs. a RHP, 9-5 in the last game of the series vs. divisional opponents and 10-4 after a game w/ 5 or less hits w/ at least 1 HR while the line is under +185. Texas on the other hand is pitching Spencer Howard, who is 0-3 TY with a 5.61 ERA, he has started 9 games and has came into the game in relief 4 times as well, and his stat line as a starting pitcher is even a little more concerning at home, going 0-2 with a 7.14 ERA, at home in general this season he is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA, while in day games he is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA in 13.2 IP. Texas has struggled in general vs. right handed pitching, they are 7-18 in the L25 as a HD vs. RHP (including 4-17 w/ a line > 115), 1-10 in the final game of the L11 series vs. a RHP for a divisional opponent (including 8 losses in a row), they are 8-30 vs. a RHP w/ a ERA under 4.00 and a line over -110, which includes 11 straight losses, 2-16 in the L18, 4-14 @ H (0-6 in the L6 & 1-8 in the L9), and 4-19 vs. the divisional RHP w/ an ERA under 4. The Rangers are also 5-12 in the L17 vs. teams over .500, 0-7 as a HD vs. RHP on a team with an away win percentage under 50%. Texas is also 7-22 in the L29 vs. RHP off B2B L's, 96-161 in the L257 and they have lost 4 straight games vs. RHP as a D after outhitting an opponent in a loss.

 

[BuzzKill]

ASA

D* Astros -1.5

 

[BuzzKill]

XS Sports

NFL
E* Philadelphia +1.5 -119

MLB
E* Philadelphia Under 8 -110
D* Milwaukee Over 8 -110
C* Kansas City +143
C* Oakland Over 9 -105

 

[BuzzKill]

Tokyo Brandon

(911) Baltimore Orioles at (912) Tampa Bay Rays
Game: (913) Seattle Mariners at (914) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 2:05 PM EDT
Play Rating: A%
Play: Seattle Mariners -1.0 (-120) C Flexen (RHP), S Howard (RHP) Must Start
Flexen is not great on the road so the books are giving a decent line here. Howard is a reliever who has not pitched more than 3 innings and has a 1.4+ WHIP. That opens things up for the awful bullpen. Seattle is not raking since losing Cruz to the Rays but they have a SP and bullpen advantage here that is worth a play. Take the Mariners on the alt run line -1. For better odds you can take the -1.5 if you prefer.

(917) Houston Astros at (918) Kansas City Royals
Game: (917) Houston Astros at (918) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 2:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: A%
Play: Houston Astros -1.0 (-120) L Garcia (RHP), M Minor (LHP) Must Start
The Astros have the SP, bullpen and lineup advantage here and Mike Minor allows hits and runs in bunches vs this team in his career. The Astros are in great form and crush LHP. Take the Astros on the alt -1 run line.

Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304111) Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: E%
Play: 1H Yomiuri Giants -0.5 (-118)
Yamaguchi is as solid a SP as they come and the Giants have been tearing the cover off the ball since the Olympic break. Yokohama SP Kyoyama is awful. His ERA is 7+, his WHIP is 2.36 and his FIP is 6.74. Yomiuri ranks better in 1st 5 hitting and Kyoyama has a 6.75 ERA vs Yomiuri this season. Take Yomiuri on the 1st 5 run line -0.5 or -1.

 

[BuzzKill]

John Bollman

PHILADELPHIA @ ARIZONA | 08/19 | 3:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA +170
ANALYSIS: Madison Bumgerner vs. Zach Wheeler and I think this will be low scoring. The Phillies have lost 3 in a row and are much worse on the road at 25-34. The Dbacks are much better at home and they have been playing well in Arizona lately. Madison Bumgarner has thrown four straight quality starts and the Phillies tend to struggle against lefties. I like the Dbacks as home dogs.

OAKLAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 08/19 | 2:10 PM EDT
OAKLAND +147
ANALYSIS: Cole Irvin vs. Dylan Cease today but the Athletics are reeling having lost four in a row. Tim Anderson is getting the day off and the As have really had their chances in the first few games, they just haven’t been able to capitalize. Cole Irvin is very hit or miss but good value at plus mobey because he is capable of tossing a gem. Take the value in the As to salvage a game of this series.

SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 08/19 | 2:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE -135
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have won seven of their last 10 games and put themselves back in contention for an outside shot at the playoffs. The Rangers are just 5-11 since the trade deadline and Spencer Howard just isn’t built up as a starter yet, meaning the Rangers will need a lot of bullpen innings. Chris Flexen has been one of the Mariners best starters all season, take the Mariners on the road.

L.A. ANGELS @ DETROIT | 08/19 | 1:10 PM EDT
DETROIT +101
ANALYSIS: Matt Manning vs. Jose Quintana and Manning has been solid for the Tigers and even better at home going 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA. Jose Quintana is making his first start since May and is 0-3 with a 6.12 ERA this season. The Tigers are much better at home at 33-29 and the Tigers actually played close games in the first couple games of this series. Take the home dog.

 

[TheCapt]

Any Docs or Root? TIA!

 

[jpearl]

Docs- Slavia Prague -175 (4U)

 

[jpearl]

East man- Brewers RL (7U)